UIC
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 92.6309Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 3- 8 220 H Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 2- 1 221 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 2- 1 222 A Sam Houston CUSA (22-36, 93.4) 4- 6 228 A Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 3-14 305 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 8-13 307 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 0- 7 308 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 0-10 310 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 3- 3 325 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 13-18 408 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 4- 0 414 A Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 11-12 422 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 4- 6 508 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 10- 2 521 H Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 11- 1 523 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 6- 5 524 H Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 7- 2 529 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 5-22 530 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 8- 9 530 A The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
217 H Illinois 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.16
220 H Texas A&M 2- 1 1 -6 +++ 6.69
221 A Sam Houston 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.49
222 A Sam Houston 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.51
228 A Notre Dame 3-14 -11 -4 --- -7.06
305 H Texas State 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.29
307 A Missouri 0- 7 -7 -3 -- -4.45
308 A Missouri 0-10 -10 -3 --- -7.45
310 A Northwestern 3- 3 0 -1 0.56
325 A Purdue 13-18 -5 -4 -0.61
408 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 0 4 1 + 2.86
414 A Northwestern 11-12 -1 -1 -0.44
422 A Iowa 4- 6 -2 -4 1.88
508 H Illinois State 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.59
521 H Southern Illinois 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.25
523 H Murray State 6- 5 1 1 -0.50
524 H Southern Illinois 7- 2 5 3 + 2.25
529 A Georgia Tech 5-22 -17 -8 --- -6.06
530 A The Citadel 8- 9 -1 -3 1.99
530 A The Citadel 8- 9 -1 -3 1.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Notre Dame 3-14 -11 -4 --- -7.06 308 A Missouri 0-10 -10 -3 --- -7.45 529 A Georgia Tech 5-22 -17 -8 --- -6.06 307 A Missouri 0- 7 -7 -3 -- -4.45 217 H Illinois 3- 8 -5 -2 - -3.16 305 H Texas State 8-13 -5 -2 - -3.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Texas A&M 2- 1 1 -6 +++ 6.69 521 H Southern Illinois 11- 1 10 3 +++ 7.25 508 H Illinois State 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.59 221 A Sam Houston 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.49 408 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 0 4 1 + 2.86 524 H Southern Illinois 7- 2 5 3 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Illinois (27-27, 95.1) 3- 8 -4.75 13.67 -0.68 1.45 -3.92
3 H Texas A&M (40-18, 99.0) 2- 1 -0.91 17.52 -0.68 1.45 48.71
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 2- 1 -6.46 11.97 0.68 1.45 36.56
3 A Sam Houston (22-36, 93.4) 4- 6 -6.46 11.97 0.68 1.45 -4.18
3 A Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 3-14 -4.01 14.42 0.68 1.45 -2.41
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 8-13 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 1.45 -4.02
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 0- 7 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.45 -3.41
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 0-10 -5.40 13.03 0.68 1.45 -3.41
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 3- 3 -7.38 11.04 0.68 1.45 0.00
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 13-18 -3.56 14.87 0.68 1.45 -2.08
3 A Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 4- 0 -9.08 9.34 0.68 1.45 28.97
3 A Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 11-12 -7.38 11.04 0.68 1.45 -4.85
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 4- 6 -4.07 14.36 0.68 1.45 -2.45
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 10- 2 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 1.45 25.31
3 H Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 11- 1 -9.34 9.08 -0.68 1.45 24.31
3 H Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 6- 5 -8.09 10.34 -0.68 1.45 27.94
3 H Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 7- 2 -9.34 9.08 -0.68 1.45 24.31
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 5-22 -0.00 18.43 0.68 1.45 -0.49
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 8- 9 -4.96 13.47 0.68 1.45 -3.10
3 A The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 8- 9 -4.96 13.47 0.68 1.45 -3.10
------
178.69
|
winning pts = 216.1193 losing points = -37.4295
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------